However, the analysis does not reflect official US Government policy, the breadth of intelligence sources, or the full range of perspectives within the US Intelligence Community.ĭuring the next two decades, military conflict most likely will be driven by the same factors that have historically prompted wars-ranging from resource protection, economic disparities, and ideological differences to the pursuit of power and influence-but the ways in which war is waged will change as new technologies, applications, and doctrines emerge and as additional actors gain access to these capabilities.
This paper was produced by the National Intelligence Council’s Strategic Futures Group in consultation with outside experts and Intelligence Community analysts to help inform the integrated Global Trends product, which published in March 2021.
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